Our Track Record
Our time-tested expertise in intelligence and risk strategy enables our clients to see around corners.
Here are our favourite outcomes in recent years.
Nov 2018
Whistleblower investigation
Nonpartisan investigation following a whistleblower’s allegations of fatal flaws and behavioural problems in an IOC. The client accepted our findings and change management proposals.
Feb 2019
Root cause investigation
An IOC suffered a major security incident in Mozambique, that led to curtailment of the megaproject’s development. On behalf of General Counsel, we led the forensic investigation into the incident’s causes and other contributing factors. This was a wide-ranging exercise that identified serious flaws in intelligence fusion, decision making and organizational factors.
Dec 2019
Success in international arbitration – expert witness
The World Bank’s ICSID Tribunal accepted our argument that there were serious and consequential flaws in the Claimant’s risk strategy. This helped to reduce our client Pakistan’s liability by $US 8.5 billion. Tethyan Copper Company Pty Ltd. v. Pakistan.
Oct 2021
Security Risk Governance
We advised a global asset manager on how to implement a security risk governance framework from basic principles, following its demerger from a global investment bank.
Apr 2022
Security and Human Rights
We worked in Africa with an agricultural subsidiary of a London-listed conglomerate to understand the complex social and security risks of its local operating environment. We delivered sustainable constructive outcomes for the company and the community, transforming existing conflicts without creating new ones.
May 2022
Rapidly spreading insurgency in the Sahel
Focused intelligence forecasting to support African market repositioning for a global telecoms network company.
May 2022
Correctly forecast key outcomes of the Russia-Ukraine war
While conventional wisdom focused on early Russian setbacks in Ukraine, we had the conviction to take an out-of-consensus view that Russia would regain the upper hand. We made a firm prediction that Russia would regenerate its armed forces to threaten Europe after the cessation of intense fighting in Ukraine.
Aug 2022
Security strategy
Our client was exposed to a diverse array of security threats in Africa and LatAm. On behalf of the newly appointed Global Head of Security, we wrote new company policy, minimum standards and guidelines, and provided implementation support and training to the country-level teams.
Jun 2023
Sabotage and critical infrastructure
In-depth security risk assessment and threat mitigation for a national hydrocarbon import and distribution network in Western Europe. We conduct ongoing forecasting of emerging threats from climate extremism and state actors.
Jul 2023
Success in civil litigation – expert witness
The successful defence in this hard-to-win case is an instructive example of how fraud may be proved by the careful accumulation of factual and expert evidence when, as is so often the case, there is no ‘smoking gun’. Lawrence & Keyguard v Cowell and Ors [2023] EWHC 2644 (Ch).
Jul 2023
Social Licence to Operate
A major energy company was developing oil extraction from agricultural crops in Africa. We conducted workshops, interviews, and discussion groups to ensure the community’s lived experiences were heard by the company, and not others’ interpretations. This also initiated a degree of mediation and trust-building between the company and communities, acting to transform nascent conflict and build a robust Social Licence to Operate.
Jan 2024
Warned that the US would step back from NATO
We made the very early call that the US would step back from Article 5 commitments and that European states should commit to immediate and rapid up-armament.
Dec 2024
Market entry
We made a positive call on market entry for a mining client in Balochistan. Despite endemic and growing insurgency threats, we supported market entry based on strong intelligence and our direct experience of resilient mitigation planning in Balochistan and similar places.
Feb 2025
Investigation pending litigation
A fatal security incident raised serious questions about our client’s security contractor. On behalf of General Counsel, our investigation revealed flaws in contracts, potential breaches of contract by the contractor, and other evidence of professional negligence.